Re: Japan's Insurance Companies
- From: Robert Cohen <robtcohen@xxxxxxx>
- Date: Wed, 16 Mar 2011 18:06:41 -0700 (PDT)
On Mar 16, 12:32 pm, Alan Bowler <atbow...@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
On 3/16/2011 11:57 AM, Robert Cohen wrote:>
REWARDS for whistle blowing ( I'd use lie detections) is the obvious
antidote
That Iraqi chemical engineer on 60 minutes, why in hell
didn't they lie detection him
There are various ways to determine if a person is probably
bullshitting or not
An so-called "lie detectors" don't work.
Serious studies of polygraph testing shows they aren't quite
as accurate as flipping a coin. Worse, they aren't actual as fair
as flipping a coin. There is a real bias in the results. A
innocent guy telling the truth is more likely to be judged as
lying than a guilty guy who is lying.
This isn't all that surprsing:
1) The polygraph operator is rewarded more for "detecting" a lie
than for not finding anything.
2) The polygraph essentially measures how nervous and upset someone
is. An innocent guy accused of something is going to be
nervous and upset just by the circumstances, the guilty
crook knows the drill, and is practised at his lies.
Yeah, a sociopath/psychopath <person having relatively little
conscience> will especially pass a polygraph
Alegedly: A tack in shoe, a tranquilizer supposedly can beat 'em,
Sodium pentathol, "truth serum"
There are bright fuggers who are
skilled in detecting "body language," < and thus would win real poker
Supposedly facial cues, eyes, voice can be giveaway
So: If I were the deciding investigatior
ALL the above.
Yeah: The various detecting tools are not foolproof
Using all of them would be a pretty good clueclue
.
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