Mathematical Tools For Forecasting Stock Market Work For Ecology Too



Animal populations and the stock market are hard to forecast. Both are
generated by complicated, interdependent systems.
Unlike financial stocks, where trades are meticulously recorded,
scientists began estimating animal populations only a few decades ago.
But a new technique makes it possible to use the same tools some banks
use to forecast the stock market and apply them to ecology.
The newly developed "Dewdrop Regression" can forecast fish populations
with 3% the data previously required through other methods, according
to Hsieh, Anderson, and Sugihara in an article appearing in The
American Naturalist.
The migration of the forecast tools from finance to ecology parallels
Dr. Sugihara's own journey.

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