Mauldin predicting recession
- From: "sarp" <the_sarp@xxxxxxxxx>
- Date: 3 Sep 2006 23:14:53 -0700
john mauldin, who write an investment newsletter is predicting
recession.
Some indicators I note are 1) that we have an inverted yield curve in
bonds and 2) the housing market is declining.
I am wondering what recession-proof investment strategies people are
planning on.
Using gold would be risky, considering that it fell from $800 to $350
in a single day in 1980.
There won't be time to profit from any limit sell orders with tape
action like that.
If there is a recession, my guess is it will hit the retailers first
and hardest. This would mean to get out of clothing companies like J
Crew and American Eagle. The problem is when. High-end retailers like
Abercrombie and Fitch, tend to be more resilient, though.
I plan to keep commodities at arm's length and only short term.
My guess is solid utilities that pay dividends might be the best play.
Comments from more seasoned investors (which includes just about
everybody) welcome.
--- sarp
.
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