Re: OT: Europe takes the lead on Iran

In article <znu-D309CE.17192916012006@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>,
ZnU <znu@xxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
> In article <clund-0ACDBD.10200916012006@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>,
> C Lund <clund@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
> > In article <1h98492.x17k2s138llngN%ajbrehm@xxxxxxxxx>,
> > ajbrehm@xxxxxxxxx (Andrew J. Brehm) wrote:
> > > Israel did that to Iraq in the 1980s. And it did not cause the region to
> > > blow up.
> > Did Iraq retaliate by firing missiles back at Israel and various US
> > military bases in the Middle East back then? Iran can do that.
> If Iran doesn't change course, bombing nuclear facilities, while not a
> particularly good course of action, would seem to be superior to the
> alternatives.

I wouldn't be so sure. Iraq was a pushover because it was a weakened
country run by a hated dictator. Iran has 70(?) million people who
aren't that unhappy with their lives - even though they are probably a
bit fed up with the clergy.

Any attacks from Israel (or the US) is likely to spark a surge of
Iranian patriotism. The US will be facing 70 million angry Iranians
instead of a few thousand Al Qaeda activists.

How do you think Israel will react if Tel Aviv gets hit by Chinese
missiles from Iran (in retaliation for the Israeli bombing)? While
they won't be carrying nukes, they'll still do a lot more damage than
those stupid scuds Iraq sent over their borders.

> Maybe Israel will do it again. They don't seem to mind taking the heat
> for that sort of thing. (Of course, even if Israel does it, the US will
> still get blamed. And vice versa.)

As far as the ME is concerned, Israel and the US are joined at the hip.

--
C Lund, www.notam02.no/~clund
.

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