Re: AMD to build 3rth factury in Dresden Germany
- From: Tony Hill <hilla_nospam_20@xxxxxxxx>
- Date: Tue, 30 May 2006 21:57:33 -0400
On 29 May 2006 20:04:03 -0700, "YKhan" <yjkhan@xxxxxxxxx> wrote:
Jan Panteltje wrote:
so 500 x 1/2 million = 250 million processors / year.
Now that is a respectable number.
I can't see AMD going under 150 mm^2 even at 65nm, considering that
quad-core is on its way. However, if they adopt a ZRAM L3 cache, they
might be able to pull it off.
Quad core probably won't see too much use in desktop chips through to
the end of the decade at least. It'll be big for servers and some
workstations, plus it might be available for desktops, but I suspect
that for the next 5 years or more dual-core chips will be more the
norm. Actually we'll probably continue to see a lot of single-core
chips (ie most/all "Sempron" chips) making up a pretty good chunk of
sales. Those chips are already down in the 100mm^2 range, and will be
well under that mark when they transition to 65nm production. Even
current dual-core chips only weigh in at ~150mm^2 from a 90nm fab, so
they should be down around 100mm^2.
-------------
Tony Hill
hilla <underscore> 20 <at> yahoo <dot> ca
.
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