Re: Intel Inside no more
- From: George Macdonald <fammacd=!SPAM^nothanks@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Mon, 02 Jan 2006 23:59:09 -0500
On Mon, 02 Jan 2006 15:24:06 GMT, Johannes
<johs@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>
>
>Tony Hill wrote:
>>
>> On Sun, 01 Jan 2006 17:30:57 GMT, no@xxxxxxxxxxxx (dannysdailys)
>> wrote:
>> >> David Kanterwrote:
>> >Yes, and one certainly could say the same thing about you.
>> >
>> >While I'm hardly "new" to these boards, when it comes to Intel I am
>> >quite dogmatic. I've been watching them since the beginning. You
>> >follow their religion of numbers and d*mned the clock speed. Well,
>> >the clock speed has just done them in and many of us have known this
>> >for a great many years. How many more power plants would you have us
>> >build for your house burners? I say none... I'd be very curious;
>> >just how much electricity has Intel wasted in the aggregate?
>> >Aggregate meaning every machine out there, that a low power AMD could
>> >have done. If some numbers guru reads this, he'll figure it out and
>> >post.
>>
>> One doesn't need to be much of a guru to figure this one out, a bit of
>> simple math will suffice. Figure that there are roughly 200M PC
>> processors sold each year, AMD has about 17% of the market, Intel has
>> about 81% of the market (VIA and Transmeta combine for the remaining
>> 1-2% of the market). Given that we're referring only to
>> Athlon64/Sempron vs. Pentium4/Celeron here, we're really only looking
>> at the last two years worth of CPUs and only desktop CPUs. Roughly
>> 50% of all CPUs sold are for desktops, 40% for laptops and 10% for
>> servers (note: these are very rough approximations).
>>
>> So, total CPUs in question is 400M, of which 324M are Intel chips and
>> 162M are Intel desktop P4/Celeron chips that theoretically could have
>> been AMD desktop Athlon64/Sempron chips instead.
>>
>> > Then what will you say? Hello? It's called thermal heat and
>> >I believe there might be almost a 50 to 70 watt difference for like
>> >performance in the high end.
>>
>> The difference is probably an average of about 50W at full load.
>> Intel sells a LOT of lower-end Celeron chips that don't consume all
>> that much more power than an AMD Sempron of similar performance
>> levels.
>>
>> So, with all our numbers in place it's quite a simple calculation:
>>
>> 50W/processor * 162M processors = 8,100MW worldwide (roughly one
>> decent sized power plant)
>>
>> But there's more. The above assumes that the computers are powered on
>> 24 x 7 and are running at full load that whole time. In reality we
>> can probably approximate to having computers powered on only half of
>> the time (on average) and idle 99% of the time (even while someone is
>> actually USING their computer it's going to be idle pretty close to
>> 100% of the time). At idle the difference in power consumption
>> between the chips would tend to drop somewhat, maybe down to about
>> 30W.
>>
>> So, 30W/processor * 162M processor * 0.5 = 2,430MW
>>
>> I would guess that this figure is on the high-end of the real-world
>> figure, but it should at least be in the right order of magnitude.
>
>However, it's the peak-time power from power plants that matters, that is
>what decides size of infrastructure and what causes blackouts. There is no
>efficient way to store power that is not demanded at a fixed generator rate.
>(just my 1c worth).
I believe that where local geography/facilities permit hydro pump storage
is in regular use in various parts of the world. I don't know what came of
the plan to pump compressed gas into impermeable rock cavities - seemed a
bit hairbrained way back when it was proposed. For peak load however, I
believe that, relatively inexpensive to build, gas turbines are often used
to cover peak-loads over the base-load provided by the large infrastructure
plants.
Somebody had better figure this one out if wind turbines are to become
viable in any sense at all.:-)
--
Rgds, George Macdonald
.
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