Re: What is the state of Robotics Currently.

On 29 May 2006 18:51:22 GMT, curt@xxxxxxxx (Curt Welch) wrote:

fox@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx wrote:
Do people want those jobs done, or do they want to see
an overpriced andoid struggling to do all those different
things at once and failing?

I want an overpriced android that can learn to do those things and and not
fail. Cheap specialized machines optimized for a specific task will always
be around but there is value in having a humanoid shaped machine with human
like learning skills. The value is that they can operate, and live in, a
world built for humans. They would be able to use all the tools designed
for humans to use - like driving a car or pushing a lawn mower, or walking
up and down stairs, coking meals in a kitchen, clean up a house, build
things with normal human tools.

Before we can create a general purpose learning android we have to solve
AI. I tend to be optimistic about how long that's going to take (I've
recently made another 10 year bet on the subject), but it's possible it
will still take another 50 or 100 years to duplicate human level learning
skills. This is the technology that's holding robotics back and no one
really knows how long it's going to take to solve. All we can do is make
some wild guesses. (and work hard to solve it).

I'm waiting on a flying car.
.

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