Re: Best Quote on Computer Architecture?




2004 Off-shoring is just another management fad and we're going
to see it blow over. (Eric Raymond)

2003 Unix is dead. (Gus Robertson of Redhat)

2002 Linux will become the dominant server operating system in
the United States by 2005. (Stacey Quandt)

1998 Folks, the Mac platform is through - totally. (John Dvorak)

1998 There isn't an Internet company in the world that's going to
fail because of mistakes -- Internet companies make thousands of
mistakes every week. (Candice Carpenter of iVillage)

1995 I predict the Internet will soon go spectacularly supernova
and in 1996 catastrophically collapse. (Robert Metcalfe)

1994 I see little commercial potential for the Internet for at
least ten years. (Bill Gates)

1993 I view the landslide of C use in education as something of a
calamity. (Nicklaus Wirth)

1991 Hello everybody out there using minix - I'm doing a (free)
operating system (just a hobby, won't be big and professional
like gnu) for 386(486) AT clones. (Linus Torvalds)

1991 I predict that the last mainframe will be unplugged on March
15, 1996. (Stewart Alsop)

1990 By 1995, desktop operating system shipments will be 50 per
cent OS/2, 20 per cent Unix, 15 per cent Macintosh and 10 per
cent PC-DOS. (Meta Group)

1989 Real concurrency -- in which one program actually continues
to function while you call up and use another -- is more amazing
but of small use to the average person. How many programs do you
have that take more than a few seconds to perform any task? (New
York Times)

1988 If users wanted a graphical interface, wouldn't the
Macintosh dominate the market? (Bruce Tonkin)

1988 Computer viruses are an urban myth. (Peter Norton)

1988 I believe OS/2 is destined to be the most important
operating system, and possibly program, of all times. (Bill
Gates)

1986 By the turn of this century, we will live in a paperless
society. (Roger Smith of General Motors)

1986 UNIX is dead, but no one bothered to claim the body. (John
Dvorak)

1984 The Macintosh uses an experimental pointing device called a
mouse. There is no evidence that people want to use these things.
(John Dvorak)

1983 No one knows what to do with seven windows at one time. (PC
Week Magazine)

1983 Starting this Thanksgiving I am going to write a complete
Unix-compatible software system called GNU (for Gnu's Not Unix),
and give it away free to everyone who can use it. (Richard
Stallman)

1982 Time-sharing just doesn't work. (Ken Thompson)

1982 I don't know what the language of the year 2000 will look
like, but I know it will be called Fortran. (C A R Hoare)

1977 There is no reason for any individual to have a computer in
his home. (Ken Olson of Digital Equipment)

1972 The number of UNIX installations has grown to 10, with more
expected. (UNIX Programming Manual)

1970 In from three to eight years we will have a machine with the
general intelligence of an average human being. (Marvin Minsky)

1970 Most computers will probably still occupy a large room,
however, because of the space needed for the ancillary software -
the tapes and cards to be fed in, the operating staff, and the
huge piles of paper for printing out the results. (Prof Desmond
King-Hele)

1968 What the hell is [a microprocessor] good for? (Robert Lloyd
of IBM's Advanced Computing Systems Division)

1965 [By 1985], machines will be capable of doing any work Man
can do. (Herbert Simon)

1964 Barring unforeseen obstacles, an on-line interactive
computer service, provided commercially by an information
utility, may be as commonplace by 2000 AD as telephone service is
today.(Martin Greenberger)

1962 Transmission of documents via telephone wires is possible in
principle, but the apparatus required is so expensive that it
will never become a practical proposition. (Dennis Gabor)

1960 Few things seem to lie so far beyond the ordinary human ken
than computers. To most people the notion that computers can be
understood and operated by anyone other than a scientific genius
seems wildly improbable. (The Times)

1959 Before man reaches the moon, mail will be delivered within
hours from New York to California, to Britain, to India or
Australia by guided missiles. We stand on the threshold of rocket
mail. (Arthur Summerfield, US Postmaster General)

1957 I have traveled the length and breadth of this country and
talked with the best people, and I can assure you that data
processing is a fad that won't last out the year. (Editor of
business books for Prentice Hall)

1954 Why would you want more than one machine language? (John von
Neumann)

1949 Where a calculator on the ENIAC is equipped with 18,000
vacuum tubes and weighs 30 tons, computers in the future may have
only 1,000 vacuum tubes and perhaps weigh 1.5 tons. (Popular
Mechanics)

1949 It would appear that we have reached the limits of what it
is possible to achieve with computer technology, although one
should be careful with such statements, as they tend to sound
pretty silly in 5 years. (John von Neumann)

1945 The world has arrived at an age of cheap complex devices of
great reliability and something is bound to come of it. (Vannevar
Bush)

1943 I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.
(?Thomas Watson of IBM)

1937 There is no practical obstacle whatsoever now to the
creation of an efficient index to all human knowledge, ideas and
achievements, to the creation, that is, of a complete planetary
memory for all mankind. (H G Wells)

1936 I cannot conceive that anybody will require multiplications
at the rate of 40,000, or even 4,000, per hour. Such a
revolutionary change as the octonary scale should not be imposed
upon mankind in general for the sake of a few individuals. (F H
Wales)

1851 By means of electricity, the world of matter has become a
great nerve, vibrating thousands of miles in a breathless point
of time. The round globe is a vast brain, instinct with
intelligence! (Nathaniel Hawthorne)

1842 The Analytical Engine is not merely adapted for tabulating
the results of one particular function and of no other, but for
developing and tabulating any function whatever. (Ada Lovelace)

1838 [It would not be long] ere the whole surface of this country
would be channelled for those nerves which are to diffuse, with
the speed of thought, a knowledge of all that is occurring
throughout the land, making, in fact, one neighborhood of the
whole country. (Samuel Morse)

79 I am amazed, O Wall, that you have not collapsed and fallen,
since you must bear the tedious stupidities of so many scrawlers.
(graffiti in Pompeii)

-360 The discovery of the alphabet will create forgetfulness in
the learners' souls. You will give your disciples not truth but
the semblance of truth: they will be heroes of many things, and
will have learned nothing; they will appear to be omniscient and
will generally know nothing. ("Phaedrus" by Plato)


--
Guy Macon
<http://www.guymacon.com/>

.

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