Re: DVD dead!


Black Locust wrote:
> In article <ta2ip1haqor89fbeavb8q890guj0ki48hn@xxxxxxx>,
> Allan <Spamstillsucks@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
>
> > Well I didn't mention DVD-A no SACD.
>
> You're ignoring the issue. My point was, a new format doesn't
> automatically equal success. There have been numerous audio/video
> formats over the years that were history before they even had the chance
> to get going. Remember Philips Video 2000 videcassette format? Which
> BTW, was superior to both Betamax and VHS, but it didn't mean a damn
> thing to the average consumer. It was pratically dead on arrival.
>
> > The train is actually heading the opposite direction with Audio....
> > Does that mean everyone with using their IPOD's to watch the latest
> > Blockbuster? My gut says no.
>
> It's expected that by 2010 internet bandwidth will have reached the
> levels where it will be possible to download an entire movie in roughly
> 3 minutes time. So who's to say video isn't going to go down the same
> path as audio? I could quite easily see standard DVD continuing to be
> the format of choice until 2010 or so. Blu-Ray and HD-DVD could end up
> being nothing more than blips on the radar(much like the aforementioned
> Video 2000). I'm not saying this will be the case, but it's a definite
> possibily.

Yes, this is the interesting point right here. It's clear from Music
that most consumer's don't care about quality (sound fiedlity), but
rather about convenience.

>>From this article
(http://webwire.com/ViewPressRel.asp?SESSIONID=&aId=6521), it seems
that 50% of HDTV owners don't even KNOW that they aren't watching HD
TV! So, even medium bitrate XviDs on their HDTVs would prolly look
pretty damb good to them. Plus, you can fit about 7Hrs on one
(single-layer) DVD+R.

The future of movie watching MAY be something like the ITMS equivalent
for movies, which will be tragic for anyone who DOES appreciate
video/sound quality.

I do watch Xvids on my tv now. They donwload quickly (i had 4Mbps,
just upg'd to 9Mbps), burn one hr ep to a CDR and look "good enough".
For movies, I rather rent the DVD. If I had to live in a world with
ONLY Xvids as my video option, though, ugh...

-goro-

.

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