Re: wow... Lidle did not...

Vinnie S. wrote:
On Thu, 03 Aug 2006 15:52:37 -0400, Kenny1111 <kcyanks1@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:

?
Vinnie S.
You'd have to do a real statistical study, not just look it up. So I'm
not expecting you do have the ambition to do it. But basically, here's
what would have to be done (or at least one approach): People have
already ("The Book" I think and maybe also "Curveball" I think did this)
discussed the distribution of runs per inning based on a pitcher's ERA.
One complication is that this changes as the game goes along and the
pitcher is tiring, but maybe as a first approach you ignore that. So
you have to take the expected distribution, and compare it to Mussina's
actually distribution (how many runs he gave up in each inning pitched,
which probably can be obtained from Lahman database or a similar
source). It should be possible to calculate the probability that
Mussina's distribution is due to random variation. If the probability
is low enough, you can reject the hypothesis that he gives up runs as
one would expect. As I said, I doubt it's something you want to bother
doing.


I'd have to go look at all his game logs. That's a lot of them.

Vinnie S.

Well I haven't worked with databases much, but I'd suspect it can be a
fairly automated process.
.

Relevant Pages

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    (alt.sports.baseball.ny-yankees)
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