Re: The Twins are bluffing!
- From: "Cobb" <cobb14@xxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Fri, 07 Dec 2007 15:17:09 GMT
"Leon Lussier" <RedSoxTres8@xxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
news:21109-4758D1CD-292@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
The most recent rumors have the Twins proclaiming that they want to
keep Santana. I don't believe this is true, but, just for the sake of
argument, let's take them at their word. If the Twins keep Santana to
start the year, they put themselves in a very tough spot.
There are only a few possible outcomes. They are as follows:
1. The Twins don't trade Santana. They start the season with him as
their ace. The Twins shock everybody by getting off to a great start.
They are battling the Indians for the top spot in the Central Division.
On July 30th, they have a two game lead over the Indians. Can they then
turn to their fans and say, "By the way, we are trading our Hall of Fame
pitcher in the middle of a heated pennant race. Please buy season
tickets for our new stadium"?. How would that go over?
2. The Twins don't trade Santana and they get off to a rotten start.
Nothing goes right and they have to dump him at the trading deadline.
With the clock striking midnight, they are forced to take a deal. It's
not the four young up and comers that they were offered in December, but
hey it's better than losing him and getting nothing in return. Keep in
mind that Santana is not a half of the year rental. You sign him, you
will need to pay for a big contract. What if two, or three, of the
large market teams get off to a lousy start? What if the Angels,
Dodgers, Mets or Cubs are stinking up the joint in July? Will those
same teams pony up the big bucks to sign him if they are ten games out
the lead.
3. The Twins don't trade Santana. Instead they smash open the piggy
bank and pay him the money he wants. Twenty to Twenty-five million a
year for five or six years. As a small market team, they have been
crying poor for so long that everybody is shocked that they actually
found some loose change between the couch cushions to pay Santana. The
rising cost of mediocrity will set in. Can they tell Joe Mauer that
they are too poor to pay him two thirds of what Mariano is getting in
New York? What will they say to all their other talented, but
underpaid, players?
4. They trade Santana now to a large market team for the best deal
that they can get. Keep in mind that Santana has veto power over any
trade.
My bet is that he will be traded before the start of spring training.
There are only five teams- The Red Sox, Dodgers, Mets, Angels and, yes,
the Yankees who will be able to afford him. The Sox are smart not to
jump the gun and offer the Twins the moon. I still feel the Yankees
will jump back into the Johan race. I have no idea what will happen.
We will just have to see what happens next.
Baseball must be a big bore if you are outside NY, LA or Boston.
Hyperinflation is pushing everybody else out. You have to be surprised about
Detroit. Good luck to them.
Epstein has to get Santana if he wants to stay on top. Maybe that's what the
Twins are banking on.
.
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