Re: McCarver???
- From: "Bob-Nob" <bobnob15@xxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Sun, 16 Sep 2007 02:22:52 -0000
nate venit, vidit, et dixit:
"Fred Burton" <fbur...@xxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
Hit a leadoff solo homer, and the next guy up is in a position
similar to starting
off the inning all over again... Nobody on, nobody out, but with 1
run already
scored. How can hitting a leadoff homer NOT have a greater chance to
lead to
a multi-run inning than a leadoff walk?
however...when Jeff Sagarin ran the multiregression analysis on what
leadoff hit best creates runs, it was not homeruns. it was triples.
Eh, why? Because pitchers don't pitch as well with a runner on third,
being afraid to throw wild pitches, and they end up giving up more
runs via hits? It still seems counter-intuitive (though less obviously
so than walks).
Catch you later.
--Robert Machemer
--
Robert Paul Aubrey Machemer | For each time he falls, he shall
Amherst College, Math & Classics | rise again, and woe to the wicked!
IF22: Cliff wins best film, cast | --Don Quixote (Man of La Mancha)
"Can't complain; had his chance, and in modern parlance, blew it."
.
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