Re: Lugo, Drew...my thoughts...


"smacdo" <fake@xxxxxxxxxx> wrote in message
news:zRzdh.2431$Ca.744@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Mark Stahl wrote:
> ??? What numbers are these?

Trot's absolute best career year is just about as good as Drew's career
average. Trot is experiencing a massive decline.

You need some better numbers.

Do I? Here are their 3 year averages before the 2006 season...(I wanted
to exclude the 2006 season to even out the 'contract year' phenomenon...)

Drew - 353 AB, 20 HR, 57 RBI, .295/.413/.540
Trot - 333 AB, 16 HR, 59 RBI, .294/.376/.520

Now, in the same way we can't tell about Drew's health, we can't tell
about Trot's either. So is there a really big difference between those
numbers?

Yes, there is. 37 points of OBP and 20 points of SLG, compiled in Dodger
Stadium vs. Fenway Park? That's a huge difference.

OPS+, 2003-2005

Drew: 133, 158, 148
Nixon: 149, 123, 112

Nixon had a smaller advantage in his career year than Drew had in either of
the other two. And, of course, you're skewing the comparison dramatically
by ignoring 2006. Nixon was in a "contract year," but Drew already had
guaranteed money for the next 2. And Drew (.283/.393/.498, 125 OPS+) was
enormously better than Nixon (.268/.373/.394, 98 OPS+) in 2006. Drew's a
year younger and has had at least a 25 point advantage in OPS+ for each of
the last 3 years. Yes, there's really a big difference in past performance
between the two.

Read around some about Drew

Anything in particular?

and then let me know how you think that type of attitude and personality
are going to wash in the Boston media.

I don't know him, and I can't answer that question. I keep reading the
phrase "laid-back" which doesn't strike me as a problem. I think being
uptight is more likely to cause problems. "Laid-back" will cause negative
press, of course, but, if genuine, it also allows one to live with it.

Poking around, I also see comments like this: "Dodgers executives and
Manager Grady Little had let it be known they weren't pleased by Drew's
measured approach to the game, Little at one point instructing him "to
strike out" to maybe make him more aggressive at the plate." I've no
interest whatsoever in him striking out to make a point. That charge (not
aggressive enough at the plate) was leveled against Wade Boggs and Ted
Williams - it was stupid then, it's stupid now. Terry Francona won't make
that demand of him.

I see lots of people concerned that he can't play in Boston. I don't see
any actual evidence to suggest that that's the case - if you've got some,
I'd love to see it...


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