Re: Schilling

Kevin Stearns wrote:
> I was looking at Schilling's numbers since he came back. It was not as bad
> as I thought it would be but it certainly feels much different. Overall
> since he came back, including tonight, he has pitched 10.2 innings, 12 hits,
> 5 ER, 1 BB, 11 SO, he is 2 and 2 with 2 saves, a 1.27 WHIP, and a 4.41 ERA.
> His first walk since he came back was tonight. So that's not too bad. Of
> course, he is getting hit pretty hard so his defense has been very important
> for him. If those numbers translate to him as a starting pitcher (which I'm
> doubtful they would), that wouldn't be so bad.
>
> Feel free to bash my stupidity now!


You can say that again. ;) The problem is that he is getting shelled
in between moments of promise. When you extrapolate those stats over
six or seven innings you need to add in some outliers. His numbers
won't be that good. What the stats don't show is that a lot of balls
are getting hit deep -- good fortune and defense has helped him
considerably. His ERA is high for a closer. REALLY high for a closer.
Good closers have ERA's that are half that number. I think his ERA is
more likely to go up than down over a larger sample.

.

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