"Iran should take the issue to the Security Council, against the IAEA"
- From: "kuff (Isaac Adams)" <kuff00@xxxxxxxxx>
- Date: 5 Sep 2005 14:52:05 -0700
"To a certain extent, [Iranian officials] have lost their fear of the
Security Council," says Davoud Hermidas Bavand, a professor of
international law at Alameh University in Tehran. "Some even say that
Iran should take the issue to the Security Council, against the IAEA,"
he says, because a technical issue has become "politicized." ...
"The tide of opinion in Tehran seems to have shifted," says Gary
Samore, a nonproliferation official during the Clinton administration
and vice president of the MacArthur Foundation in Chicago.
"Over the last two years, Iran's policy has been dominated by the
desire to avoid referral to the Security Council, and Iran has been
prepared to accept limits on its nuclear program in order to achieve
that," says Mr. Samore, who is releasing an Iran dossier Tuesday under
the auspices of the International Institute of Strategic Studies in
London. "It does appear that Iran feels it's in a much stronger
High oil prices may give Tehran confidence that the council would not
jeopardize the flow of Iran's petroleum into the market, says Samore.
Other factors include American preoccupation with Iraq, and the
decisive victory of Mr. Ahmadinejad at the polls last June. ...
"Ahmadinejad, and [Iran] in general, feels less threatened by the
possibility of sanctions - they perceive they are stronger, and much
more in control," says Hadi Semati, a political scientist from Tehran
University, who is currently at the Woodrow Wilson International Center
for Scholars in Washington. "Domestically in Iran, it's going to be
very hard for anyone to come out and say: 'OK, we're going to get rid
of our [nuclear] fuel cycle' to get a few promises. That is political
"They know the Europeans are terrified to take Iran to the Security
Council, because then the question is: 'What next?' '' says Mr. Semati.
And "down the line, [they feel] the US is bent on regime change anyway,
even if it's not declared policy - so why bother?" ...
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