What does a Sinophobe, a Russophobe, and the Nippon-phobes have in common
- From: EastWindRain@xxxxxxxxx
- Date: 25 Mar 2006 22:54:04 -0800
The abridged answer- they all were/still are wrong.
Back in the scary cold war, we thought the Russians were going to
conqueror the free world. Turns out that when push came to
shove-without Russia's atomic weapons, we would have destroyed them in
most military scenarios. Luckily for us, communisms flaws (and a few
courageous intellectuals + John Paul) toppled the Soviet Union. After
we got a good look at the Russians, it turned out that while they were
lead by a bunch of viscious autocrats, they lacked the reasources to
consitute a threat to the U.S. Russia was a third world country
mascarding as a first world one.
In the 1980's, we went through the same. Japanese companies roared unto
the world's stage, and everybody started howling about how we were all
going to get bought out by Japanese companies. However, it turned out
when American industry actually had to compete, they coulnd't get away
with selling the same old junk. In turned out that while GM and Ford
felt the pain, we, the consumers, got cars that (pardon my french)
sucked less. Overall, it turns out we were better for the "Japanese
Invasion".
The year first decade of the 21st century will be looked back on as how
some of the more guilable sections of the public became convinced that
China was going to overtake America as a super power. Ignoring solid
economic data, considerable enviromental problems, and the exsistence
of large non-Han ethnicities, they thought China was going to be the
next super power. Despite the fact that China's rural population
remains destitute, they took one look at Hong Kong and start panicing.
When we look at China ten years from now, we will see a country in
turmoil. The rise of an urban chinese middle upper class will
eventually demand political rights. The CCP at this point will try to
retain power through force, which will smash the chinese economic
miracle into the ground. Or, they military willl refuse, and the CCP
will go quietly into the night. The night will not remain quiet long,
as East Turkestan's muslims, Tibetans, and the nomads of Heigoland and
Inner Mongolia all march unto the political scene and demand
soverignity. This will cause considerable choas within China. If the
Chinese can somehow overcome overpopulation, women's rights issues,
enviromental problems, and all of China's ethnicities, then in about 10
to 20 years I could see them as a regional power slightly more powerful
then Japan.
.
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