Re: Obama now leads McCain by 52 percent to 43 percent
- From: "Sid9" <sid9@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2008 11:47:04 -0400
Official voter registration numbers say
that Democrats have registered more
than 6 voters for every Republican.
McCain CANNOT win the election
Obama can win the election
"Horatio Fudruckerton" <HF@xxxxxxx> wrote in message
Al snore leads in all polls and expects to win comfortably. 2000 !
John *the vietnam coward* leads in all polls and expects to win
comfortably. 2004 !
Liberal stupidity is hillarious.
They conduct their own biased polls and then crow about being
ahead. How dumb can they get ?
lIBERAL MOTTO: WHEN YOU DON'T HAVE THE FACTS;
JUST LIE, BABY !!!
Secondary liberal motto: "Even when you HAVE facts, just
Liberals are so mean spirited because their women
are so UGLY !!!
On Wed, 24 Sep 2008 09:40:43 -0400, "Sid9" <sid9@xxxxxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
Economic Fears Give Obama Clear Lead Over McCain in Poll
By Dan Balz and Jon Cohen
Washington Post Staff Writers
Wednesday, September 24, 2008; A01
Turmoil in the financial industry and growing pessimism about the economy
have altered the shape of the presidential race, giving Democratic nominee
Barack Obama the first clear lead of the general-election campaign over
Republican John McCain, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News
Just 9 percent of those surveyed rated the economy as good or excellent,
first time that number has been in single digits since the days just
the 1992 election. Just 14 percent said the country is heading in the
direction, equaling the record low on that question in polls dating back
More voters trust Obama to deal with the economy, and he currently has a
edge as the candidate who is more in tune with the economic problems
Americans now face. He also has a double-digit advantage on handling the
current problems on Wall Street, and as a result, there has been a rise in
his overall support. The poll found that, among likely voters, Obama now
leads McCain by 52 percent to 43 percent. Two weeks ago, in the days
immediately following the Republican National Convention, the race was
essentially even, with McCain at 49 percent and Obama at 47 percent.
As a point of comparison, neither of the last two Democratic nominees --
John F. Kerry in 2004 or Al Gore in 2000 -- recorded support above 50
percent in a pre-election poll by the Post and ABC News.
Last week's near-meltdown in the financial markets and the subsequent
in Washington over a proposed government bailout of troubled financial
institutions have made the economy even more important in the minds of
voters. Fully 50 percent called the economy and jobs the single most
important issue that will determine their vote, up from 37 percent two
ago. In contrast, just 9 percent cited the Iraq war as their most
issue, its lowest of the campaign.
But voters are cool toward the administration's initial efforts to deal
the current crisis. Forty-seven percent said they approve of the steps
by the Treasury and the Federal Reserve to stabilize the financial
while 42 percent said they disapprove.
Anxiety about the economic situation is widespread. Just over half of the
poll respondents -- 52 percent -- believe the economy has moved into a
serious long-term decline. Eight in 10 are concerned about the overall
direction of the economy, nearly three-quarters worry about the shocks to
the stock market, and six in 10 are apprehensive about their own family
Two weeks ago, McCain held a substantial advantage among white voters,
including newfound strength with white women. In the face of bad economic
news, the two candidates now run about evenly among white women, and Obama
has narrowed the overall gap among white voters to five percentage points.
Much of the movement has come among college-educated whites. Whites
college degrees favor McCain by 17 points, while those with college
support Obama by 9 points. No Democrat has carried white, college-educated
voters in presidential elections dating back to 1980, but they were a key
part of Obama's coalition in the primaries.
The political climate is rapidly changing along with the twists and turns
Wall Street, and it remains unclear whether recent shifts in public
will fundamentally alter the highly competitive battle between McCain and
Obama. About two in 10 voters are either undecided or remain "movable" and
open to veering to another candidate. Nevertheless, the close relationship
between voters' focus on the economy and their overall support for the
Democratic nominee has boosted Obama.
Among white voters, economic anxiety translates into greater support for
Obama. He is favored by 54 percent of whites who said they are concerned
about the direction of the economy, but by just 10 percent of those who
The survey also found that the strong initial public reaction to Alaska
Sarah Palin, McCain's running mate, has cooled somewhat. Overall, her
unfavorable rating has gone up by 10 points in the past two weeks, from 28
percent to 38 percent.
She remains broadly popular -- 52 percent of voters view her positively --
but there have been some notable declines. Over the past two weeks, the
percentage of independents with favorable views of Palin dropped from 60
percent to 48 percent. Among independent women, the decline was
sharp, going from 65 percent to 43 percent. Her favorable rating among
whites without college degrees remained largely steady, but among those
college degrees, it dropped nearly 20 percentage points.
The survey also showed some backsliding in enthusiasm among McCain
supporters. Overall, most supporters of each presidential candidate said
they are enthusiastic about their choice, but 62 percent of Obama
said they are "very enthusiastic," compared with 34 percent of McCain's
supporters. Coming out of the GOP convention, nearly half of those backing
McCain said they did so fervently.
Among Republicans, conservatives and white evangelical Protestants, strong
enthusiasm for McCain's candidacy has dropped by double digits.
The survey, conducted Friday through Monday, included telephone interviews
with a random national sample of 1,082 adults, including 916 registered
voters. The margin of error for the full sample is plus or minus three
percentage points; it is four points for the sample of 780 likely voters.
Overall, Obama and McCain are tied among men in the new poll, while Obama
has opened up a sizable lead among women. The candidates divide white
voters, 50 percent for McCain to 45 percent for Obama, while Obama has an
overwhelming advantage among African Americans, 96 percent to 3 percent.
Independents, key swing voters, now break for Obama, 53 percent to 39
percent, reversing a small lead for McCain after the Republican
McCain is the choice of 86 percent of Republicans, while about as many
Democrats, 88 percent, back Obama.
In the new poll, voters once again gave Obama higher marks than McCain
it comes to dealing with the economy, 53 percent to 39 percent. Two weeks
ago, Obama's edge on the question was a narrow five points, his lowest of
the campaign. Among independents, Obama's advantage on the economy -- now
points -- is greater than at any point in the campaign.
McCain's advantages on national security issues have also been blunted.
weeks ago, when those surveyed were asked who they trusted to deal with a
major unexpected crisis, McCain led 54 percent to 37 percent. That lead is
Similarly, McCain's once-sizable advantage in dealing with the battle
against terrorism has all but disappeared. There were also big shifts
Obama on handling Iraq and international affairs more broadly.
The first presidential debate, set for Friday evening, is slated to focus
foreign policy and national security, but economic issues seem likely to
included, given the developments on Wall Street. The debate appears poised
to draw record levels of attention, as interest in the election has been
high and continues to grow. Almost all voters are tuned in, and 55 percent
are following "very closely," higher than at this time in 2004 and more
double the percentage so engaged in 2000.
A substantial hurdle for Obama is the widespread public skepticism about
whether he would make a good commander in chief. On that question, he has
made no significant headway in allaying voters' concerns. They remain
divided -- 48 percent said he would be effective in that role, 47 percent
said he would not. Nearly three-quarters said McCain would manage the
military well, and as many said he has the knowledge of world affairs to
Still, the candidates are rated about equally on the question of who is
In the aftermath of the national conventions and the surprise pick of
McCain had narrowed the gap with Obama on who is more likely to change
Washington. In the new survey, Obama has reestablished his credentials on
that front. He also now holds a double-digit lead as the more honest and
trustworthy candidate, flipping what had been a slight McCain edge two
Obama has also cemented a clear edge among voters prioritizing the
a growing group. Among "economy voters," he now leads McCain by nearly 2
1. McCain holds advantages among voters prioritizing a range of concerns
that rank lower on the issues list, making it harder for him to find ways
drive the agenda of the campaign into favorable territory.
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