Re: Thoughts on Vista

JAD wrote:
Oh, I'm not advocating that most people switch to Linux now. It can do

the job for some people now. It might be say 7 to 15 years before it has
half the market, 10 to 20 years before it has 4/5 of the market. Something
like that. I would hope that no OS ever again gets 9/10 of the market.

In 15 years,,,, MORE,,,,, the linux name will be gone and the OS won't even
resemble what it is now... if at all.

I hesitate to get into it, and I'll try to avoid the Linux vs. Windows debate, but ...

By "the OS" I guess you mean whatever OS(es) is(are) dominant.

A lot of people in computer science considered OS to be a pretty dead area already 20 years ago.

How much does XP differ from W95 or from the Macintosh OS of 1984?

How much will Vista differ from XP?

Mass commercialization seems to happen at a snail's pace. Windows 95 was the first popular OS with preemptive multitasking, whereas Multics had it in the 1960's. The mouse was invented in 1963, patented in 1970, and first mass-produced in 1984. If any radical changes to popular OSes are to be accomplished 15 years from now, I would expect there would be advance signs by now or soon. Maybe somebody could mention some such signs.

Not clear what you mean, JAD.
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